Play sheet
The numbers worth knowing by heart. For a specific spot, use the calculator.
Outs → chance to hit
Shortcut: outs × 4 with two cards to come, outs × 2 with one.
| Draw | Outs | Flop → river | One card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket pair → set | 2 | 8% | 4% |
| Gutshot straight draw | 4 | 16% | 9% |
| Two overcards | 6 | 24% | 13% |
| Open-ended straight draw | 8 | 31% | 17% |
| Flush draw | 9 | 35% | 20% |
| Flush draw + gutshot | 12 | 45% | 26% |
| Flush draw + open-ender | 15 | 54% | 33% |
Pot odds: the equity you need to call
Facing a bet into a pot:
| Bet size | You need |
|---|---|
| ¼ pot | 17% |
| ⅓ pot | 20% |
| ½ pot | 25% |
| ⅔ pot | 29% |
| ¾ pot | 30% |
| Full pot | 33% |
| 1.5× pot | 38% |
| 2× pot | 40% |
Preflop hand tiers (Hold'em)
PremiumAA · KK · QQ · AKs
Raise and re-raise from anywhere.
StrongJJ · TT · AQs · AKo · AJs · KQs
Open from any seat; usually call 3-bets.
Good99–66 · ATs · KJs · QJs · AQo · JTs
Open from middle and late position.
Speculative55–22 · suited aces · suited connectors
Play cheap, in position, to hit big.
The restEverything else
Fold. Most poker mistakes start here.
Classic matchups
| Overpair vs underpair | ≈ 82 / 18 |
| Pair vs two overcards | ≈ 55 / 45 |
| Pair vs one overcard | ≈ 70 / 30 |
| Dominating ace (AK) vs AQ | ≈ 74 / 26 |
| Two higher cards vs two lower | ≈ 63 / 37 |
PLO in three rules
- You must use exactly two hole cards, so one heart in your hand never makes a flush.
- Bare aces shrink fast after the flop; hands that work together win the money.
- Draw to the nuts. Second-best flushes and straights are how stacks disappear.